Adventures in Financial Analysis

My continuing journey into the world of finance.


Bayes’ Theorem

Mastering the Chaos

I have been playing the Diplomacy board game online for roughly a year now over at Roughly half-way through the year, I started using a Bayesian framework to help predict what my competitors were attempting to do. I have… Continue Reading →

Rebuilding Rome

This post is an update from my Diplomacy board game. Original posts are here and here. How much studying did you get done today? Not much. What did you do today then? I rebuilt the Roman Empire, that’s what. On… Continue Reading →

Victory Via A Bayesian Framework – Final Verdict

I posted earlier about my Diplomacy game (read the full post through the link to the left, otherwise there is a short recap below) and how I was determined to view the game through a Bayesian lens in an attempt to avoid biases…. Continue Reading →

Victory Via A Bayesian Framework

Bayes formula has shown up yet again in the CFA Level 3 curriculum. It’s the gift that keeps on giving! I love the idea of probabilistically thinking about things in order to make better decisions. It is just a rational… Continue Reading →

Self Reflection

I received my CFA Level 3 curriculum the other day and I have just finished reading my first Study Session entitled, “Behavioral Finance”. Behavioral Finance is Study Session 3 in the Level 3 curriculum. I skipped over Study Sessions 1 & 2… Continue Reading →

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